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Monday, 24 February 2020 20:07

Libya: an unending civil war

Libya: an unending civil war

libya civil warThe civil war in Libya has been in progress for more than eight years and the recent conferences in Berlin and Moscow seemed unable to provide a reliable solution. Both efforts aimed at putting an end tο the civil war and agreeing on a ceasefire. Consequently, both conferences were deemed ineffective, especially since the one side of the Libyan civil war, General Khalifa Haftar and the Libyan National Army (LNA), refuses to compromise with the officially recognized government of Libya, the General National Accord (GNA), which, as the civil war rages on, gradually loses domestic legitimacy and weakens.[1]

Published in Middle East Flashpoints
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Wednesday, 12 February 2020 13:44

The new Sultan and Oman’s Regional and Domestic challenges

The new Sultan and Oman’s Regional and Domestic challenges

oman sultan haitham ceremonyDespite speculations of a rocky transition of power, Sultan Haitham bin Tariq Al Said’s succession at the Omani throne was swift and according to the wishes of the late Sultan. While he declared that he will follow the principles set by Qaboos in terms of foreign policy, the new ruler will have to prove Oman’s commitment to neutrality and its position as intermediary in negotiations, at a time of great regional turmoil. Meanwhile, Oman has to tackle its economic and social challenges at home, in order to continue to project its international soft power.

Published in Middle East Flashpoints
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Tuesday, 02 April 2019 12:35

The Islamic Republic and the people: beyond the “Je t’Aime, Moi Non Plus” point?

The Islamic Republic and the people: beyond the “Je t’Aime, Moi Non Plus” point?

iran mural tehranThe Iranian leadership remains trapped in a revolutionary ideology that is sustained by a nationalist narrative, especially in times of hardship. Appealing to the patriotic sentiment of the people has worked in the past, but in the current circumstances the public, especially the millennial generation who have no memory of the Revolution or the Iran-Iraq war, have lost faith in this narrative. Faced with a stifling economic and employment crisis, excruciating sanctions and mounting international pressure, the Iranian political, military and clerical establishment is more than ever challenged to adapt to the changes that have driven the society in 40 years, or face protests that could get out of the control of Tehran. Although the regime is aware of the crucial momentum, any promises for reform remain unfulfilled, as a wide array of unelected bodies is still capable of blocking any initiative of the elected government. The US stance boosts the narrative and the anti-US sentiment, thus making an implosion or a regime change à la US unlikely to materialize anytime soon.

Published in Middle East Flashpoints
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Monday, 13 November 2017 20:29

The Iran-Turkey-Russia alignment: The devil is in the details

The Iran-Turkey-Russia alignment: The devil is in the details

russia turkey presidentsThe decision of the Kurdistan Regional Government to proceed with the independence bid on September 25, precipitated a serious crisis in the region. Seemingly, one important question to be addressed is the consequences the Kurdish referendum engenders to the recently shaped Iran-Turkey-Russia axis, particularly on the Syrian issue. Whereas Iran and Turkey often find themselves at loggerheads over regional issues, their shared concern in preventing Kurdish statehood, seems to provide the necessary fuel towards cooperation, if not alliance-building. Russia, in the meanwhile, has adopted a “wait-and-see” policy on the matter. Still, the extent to this cooperation can be much constrained by their own diverging interests in the region.

Published in Middle East Flashpoints
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Monday, 03 April 2017 13:04

Algeria: fighting with neo-liberalist reforms

Algeria: fighting with neo-liberalist reforms

algeria in salah gas terminalCountries with only one economic sector developed, such as the oil one, are very vulnerable to economy shifts and face many problems when the oil prices fall. Algeria could not be the exception to the rule. With the oil prices slumping during the past two years, the Algerian economy has had to face a budget crisis as hydrocarbons make up roughly 60% of the state income, representing 40% of the Algerian GDP and 90% of its export earnings.[1] The Dinar has depreciated, all the while expenses on daily needs have risen for the Algerian people who are once again demonstrating on the streets. What are the Algerian regime’s next moves? How will the Algerian people react to austerity?

Published in Middle East Flashpoints
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Tuesday, 28 February 2017 23:03

Patrick Cockburn, The Age of Jihad: Islamic State and the Great War for the Middle East, London: Verso Books

Patrick Cockburn, The Age of Jihad: Islamic State and the Great War for the Middle East, London: Verso Books

The broader Middle Eastern and Northern Africa region has entered an extended period of turmoil where states are collapsing and regimes are being overthrown. While the roots of these conflicts are long-established, eruptions since 2001 are recurring with a ferocity implying that none will come together again in a capacity of state unity. Patrick Cockburn's indefatigable coverage provides a crucial tour d'horizon of the civil wars and insurgencies that have been shattering the societies' central core while demonstrating the variety of reasons as to why these conflicts are ongoing and foremost, as to why religion in the Middle East is now the glue that holds societies together.

Published in Book Reviews
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Friday, 01 March 2013 02:00

Geopolitics of Islam and Democracy | Middle East Bulletin 24

Geopolitics of Islam and Democracy | Middle East Bulletin 24
Published in Middle East Bulletin
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Thursday, 01 October 2009 03:00

Islam in Africa | Middle East Bulletin 17

Islam in Africa | Middle East Bulletin 17
Published in Middle East Bulletin
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Thursday, 01 March 2007 02:00

China and India in the Middle East | Middle East Bulletin 4

China and India in the Middle East | Middle East Bulletin 4
Published in Middle East Bulletin
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Monday, 17 June 2013 03:00

The Source of Saudi influence

At the dawn of an era of multi-sourced global energy supplies, amidst simmering domestic grievances and cleavages in regional politics, Saudi Arabia stands firm. Buoyant oil revenues have allowed her to shun troublesome developments at home and play an integral role in the Middle East. However, the re-orientation of Saudi Arabia's development model currently seems insurmountable.
Published in Middle East Flashpoints
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